Sunday, February 6

12 Free Picks, all backed by In-Depth Analysis, plus more Rated Selections from the nation's premier sports analysts, are available today at TheSportsAdvisors.com

GREEN BAY vs. PITTSBURGH

By Chris Jordan, Featured Handicapper

I am the WINNINGEST Handicapper at ATSedge.com since 2006 with a net profit of 31,955 units.

::GRAB_BOX::

A customer wagering just $1 per unit won nearly $32,000 the past five years.

Time to put the power of money to work with my 6th Straight Super Bowl Winner on Green Bay and Pittsburgh.

That's right - Winner # 6 in a Row - is now available.

Normally a 1000* release is my Top Play but for the biggest game I've got something TWICE as strong, my One-and-Only 2000* NFL Lock of the Year on the Packers-Steelers Over/Under Winner.

This will be just the 14th NFL 2000* Play in 29 Years as a Professional Handicapper.

I've also got a 1000* Side Selection on Green Bay-Pittsburgh, a play
that is 5 times stronger than last year's winner on the Saints.

One dollar bettors won over $15,500 dollars in 2010. They won over $32,000 the past five years. Why would you trust anyone else for your Green Bay-Pittsburgh winner as I've got only the 14th NFL 2000* Play of my 29-Year Career available now.

Let's get to all my Free Prop Plays for today and keep in mind they are each rated on a 1* to 5* Scale below:

National Anthem

Just as I was quoted in Friday's edition of the Las Vegas Review Journal, I am taking my girl Christina Aguilera to stay under the 1:54 with her rendition of the Star Spangled Banner. She can hold her notes, no doubt about it, but she's been a lot more mature in her latest appearances, such as last year's rendition in the NBA Finals which was at 1:51. I think she will come out, get through it, and no added antics at the end, like she once did at an All-Star game.

1* UNDER National Anthem

Will there be one scoreless quarter?

Why not take a shot at +250? Honestly, this can still be a high-scoring game, and there be no points in the second quarter. It's worth a shot when you're talking about the No. 1 team and No. 2 team in defensive scoring this past season. The Steelers allowed an average of 14.5 points per game, the Packers allowed an average of 15 points per game. Granted, these offenses will get going at some point, and fireworks will be sparked, but this is a value play.

1* SCORELESS QUARTER - Yes

Brandon Jackson Rushing Attempts?

Why not give it to the kid today? A total of 4 rushing attempts - the line is 3, and I like it over - is all we need. Well, Aaron Rodgers cannot pass all damn day, and he has to give the pill to someone. And hello, Green Bay ranks fourth in the postseason in rushing with 118 yards per game, much in part because James Starks leads all rushers with his 87.7 yards per game. And even though Jackson only averaged 2 rushing attempts per game during the postseason, he'll be needed much more, with the Steelers keying in on Starks.

1* JACKSON RUSH ATTEMPTS - Over

Troy Polamalu Interception?

Going to play the YES with this proposition, as the most electrifying defensive player on the field today will be Polamalu. He's never in the same spot, he's hard to track, and in the blink of an Aaron Rodgers eye, he can disappear and be where you least expect him. I think Polamalu is making it a point to pick at least one pass today, and is worth the value at +220.

2* POLAMALU INT - Yes

Charles Woodson Interception?

Going to play the YES with this proposition, as the second-most electrifying defensive player on the field today will be Woodson. He's can play in a three-cornerback defensive set that Dom Capers brainstormed, and be an effective roaming safety. He, too, is hard to track, and can also disappear and be in the right spot at the right time. I think Woodson is a great value at +300 at YES.

2* WOODSON INT - Yes

Player to score first?

I am siding with Heath Miller for the Steelers and Aaron Rodgers for the Packers - both at 12-to-1. If the Steelers get down close to the goal line, the Packers will expect a plow through the middle of the trenches. I think Big Ben might just roll out and find his trusty steed for a quick dunk-and-dink. If the Packers get in position to score first, don't be surprised if Rodgers is the man taking it in solo for the Pack.

2* HEATH MILLER to score first

2* AARON RODGERS to score first

Ben Roethlisberger Rushing Yards?

He took a shot to the jaw. He played with a broken nose. He's endured more punishment than you can shake a stick at, and you're asking him to gain 13 1/2 yards? Really? I'll take the Over in this one, as Big Ben might get this on one rushing attempt alone. He's a bruiser and isn't afraid to go heads up with Clay Matthews if need be. I like this one and think the total yards could go over.

2* ROETHLISBERGER RUSHING YDS - Over

Aaron Rodgers Passing Yards?

And while I like the Over in Big Ben's rushing department, I have to side with the Over in Rodgers' passing game. Why not? The only way to the Lombardi Trophy is through the air, and the advantage the Packers have in this game is with three very dynamic receivers and the better overall passing game. Thus, you have to believe Rodgers will go Over 275 1/2 yards with his passing game. Don't be surprised to see him throw for more than 300 yards today.

3* RODGERS PASSING YDS - Over

Sacks By BJ Raji?

I'm going to play the Over in this one. The line is 1/2 a sack and the Over is +145. Later in this report you will see I like the Over in the Total sacks by the Pack. I looked at the line on Clay Matthews, and over the 1/2 sack is -180. But the Steelers' offensive line could be focused on Matthews, which might leave a lane open up for Raji much more often. This is pure value as he only needs to record one sack to get the money.

2* SACKS BY BJ RAJI - Over

Defensive/Special Teams Touchdown?

We're talking about two of the most athletic secondaries in the league and the YES in this prop is about +135? I'll take that for sure. There's never a time you don't have a chance at hitting a prop like this, when the Steelers are involved. Add in the Charles Woodson factor on the Packers side, and a pick-six is not out of the question. As for the Special Teams, if we get it this way, it'll likely be the Steelers, who had the better return unit.

3* DEFENSIVE/SPECIAL TEAMS TD - Yes

Total Sacks by Packers?

I'm going Over the 2 1/2 in this one, and I'll gladly lay the -145 to do so. I mean really, the Steelers have a backup center and Big Ben isn't afraid to get hit. He'll tuck it and take a sack, and come back and burn you on the next play. The Steelers and Packers led the league in sacks, respectively. Now why not take the Steelers over? Well, that line is 3 flat, +150. That means the Steelers need to sack Aaron Rodgers 4 times. Not sure there. But the Pack will get to Roethlisberger at least three times.

4* SACKS BY PACKERS - Over 2 1/2

Heath Miller One Touchdown?

I'm taking YES at +220. If I like this guy to score the first touchdown for the Steelers, why wouldn't I take him at +220 to score at least one at some point during the game? He is a vital part of the offense for Big Ben, whenever he will be under pressure. To repeat, Big Ben is going to be rolling out to look for his trusty steed for quick dunk-and-dink passes throughout this game, especially near the goal line.

4* HEATH MILLER TD - Yes

Mike Wallace Receptions?

I'm going Over the 3 1/2 receptions in this one, as this kid might be the fastest player on either roster. And though Hines Ward is the veteran who's been there for the previous two Super Bowl wins for the Steelers, I like this young kid to be there for Big Ben on plenty of down-and-out routes, or quick slants. He's got great hands, and he can move like a gazelle. Those factors alone will make him a favorite target of Roethlisberger's. Play this one Over.

5* WALLACE RECEPTIONS - Over 3 1/2

Heath Miller Receptions?

I'm going Over the 3 1/2 receptions in this one, at EVEN Money. Just read my previous analysis on this guy's other props. It all comes down to the same things for Ben Roethlisberger. Miller will be the most valuable player to the Steelers today, in my opinion.

5* MILLER RECEPTIONS - Over 3 1/2

GREEN BAY vs. PITTSBURGH

By Craig Davis

This is it people! No more talking, no more debating! I'm coming strong with my Super Bowl Winner # 3 in a Row on the Packers-Steelers, a rare 100 DIME release.

Today's free play is on Pittsburgh/Green Bay to stay UNDER the posted total.

Why do I keep hearing about these offenses or the shootout these two played in last year (37-36 final)? Do we really think that either of these offenses is going to be able to do what they did in the playoffs? Offense is much easier in the playoffs than it is in the Super Bowl. Just ask the Patriots a few years back? Just ask the Colts last year.

When these teams have two weeks to prepare, good defenses always shine.

I'm not saying point aren't scored and can't be scored, but when you have the top two defenses in the league and one mediocre offense, it's tough to not think this thing is going under.

Pittsburgh's run defense ranks first in the NFL and have the second-best scoring defense in the league. Considering Green Bay is quite one-dimensional with a very good passing offense but the 24th ranked rush offense they have will struggle.

But Pittsburgh doesn't get off that easy. They have a very basic offense that's ranked 15th overall in the NFL. And they are a run-first offense, meaning they want to grind it out and keep the clock going.... which is always good for an UNDER play.

A good running game will also keep the ball out of Aaron Rodgers hands... and that's a good thing as well.

Defenses will rule the roost tonight, as I see this game somewhere in the neighborhood of 21-17.

3* UNDER (on a 1* to 5* Scale

GREEN BAY vs. PITTSBURGH

By Al DeMarco, General Manager

Upping the ante today with my 2nd Biggest Football Play of the Season, an ultra-rare 20 Dime release on Pittsburgh-Green Bay.

I've had just three other 20 Dimers and they were all winners, my 2011 Conference Championship Game of the Year on Pittsburgh over NY two Sundays ago, my Wildcard Game of the Year on Baltimore over KC three Sundays back, and my Rose Bowl lock with Wisconsin's cover against TCU.

99% of my releases are rated between 5 and 15 Dimes; this rare 20 Dimer is bigger.

This play is stronger than the 15 dime plays I'm 33-20-2 with in the NFL the past three years combined, including my Division Round Game of the Year winner on the Steelers over Baltimore three Saturdays ago.

This play is bigger than the 15 dime basketball plays I'm 21-10 with in the NBA and college the past two seasons.

This play is bigger than my 15 dime college bowl winners on Tulsa outright as a 10-point dog at Hawaii and Oklahoma State 38-10 over Arizona.

I love this game today. Could I lose it? Absolutely. After all, this is gambling and there are no guarantees. But I've got to play it exactly for how strongly I feel about it.

I can live with losses; I can't live with regret from not playing a game the way it should be played and Pittsburgh-Green Bay is worthy of being my 2nd biggest play of the football season.

Now let's get to your free pick on the Super Bowl total.

Many suspect today's game to stay under, but I beg to differ as I expect somewhere between 48 and 52 points being scored in the contest.

For an in-depth preview of the game, checkout my Daily Video Report at ATSedge.com. No purchase necessary; no registration required.

It's true five of the past six Super Bowls have stayed under, that factors into this number being too low. Keep in mind that six of the past eight title games have exceeded 44 points anyway.

The Steelers are 4-1 over in their last five games. They've scored 23+ points in five of the past six games, including 31 and 24 in their playoff wins against Baltimore and NY, respectively.

Green Bay has scored 21+ points in five of its last six games.

The fast turf and perfect playing field because of the dome makes this an ideal situation to press the Over.

3* OVER (on a 1* to 5* scale)

Al DeMarco, General Manager of ATS Edge.com, is a 25-year veteran of the handicapping industry who is a frequent guest on sportstalk radio stations across the country. He's also a regular contributor on Fox Sports and MSNBC. Watch his Free Pick Daily Video Report for Free Picks and Daily Strategic Advice at TheSportsAdvisors.com